Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 1.687596e-02 0.018763 0.020661 0.022706 0.024842 0.027004 0.029351
2025-04-06 1.303954e-02 0.015954 0.019008 0.022417 0.026093 0.029916 0.034169
2025-04-13 1.011637e-02 0.013489 0.017150 0.021355 0.025996 0.030915 0.036480
2025-04-20 8.780840e-03 0.012564 0.016787 0.021740 0.027298 0.033267 0.040093
2025-04-27 7.399814e-03 0.011424 0.016049 0.021587 0.027899 0.034759 0.042681
2025-05-04 6.112601e-03 0.010260 0.015177 0.021186 0.028141 0.035784 0.044688
2025-05-11 5.289846e-03 0.009582 0.014811 0.021313 0.028929 0.037373 0.047276
2025-05-18 4.481638e-03 0.008841 0.014308 0.021228 0.029432 0.038605 0.049434
2025-05-25 3.660316e-03 0.007995 0.013617 0.020870 0.029576 0.039398 0.051067
2025-06-01 3.056502e-03 0.007384 0.013177 0.020779 0.030005 0.040490 0.053013
2025-06-08 2.455264e-03 0.006703 0.012600 0.020485 0.030165 0.041248 0.054561
2025-06-15 2.043739e-03 0.006259 0.012306 0.020518 0.030695 0.042420 0.056563
2025-06-22 1.537318e-03 0.005616 0.011747 0.020251 0.030920 0.043307 0.058333
2025-06-29 1.091821e-03 0.004992 0.011182 0.019966 0.031126 0.044186 0.060116
2025-07-06 5.880260e-04 0.004072 0.010110 0.018962 0.030406 0.043941 0.060569
2025-07-13 4.375552e-04 0.003867 0.010080 0.019326 0.031372 0.045684 0.063320
2025-07-20 2.465288e-04 0.003451 0.009689 0.019181 0.031684 0.046633 0.065134
2025-07-27 9.208570e-05 0.002972 0.009149 0.018803 0.031680 0.047188 0.066473
2025-08-03 3.101451e-05 0.002730 0.008978 0.018923 0.032299 0.048486 0.068676
2025-08-10 3.660875e-07 0.002430 0.008678 0.018843 0.032651 0.049450 0.070479
2025-08-17 NaN 0.002063 0.008213 0.018504 0.032652 0.049977 0.071753
2025-08-24 NaN 0.001812 0.007933 0.018418 0.032971 0.050884 0.073471
2025-08-31 NaN 0.001522 0.007537 0.018141 0.033026 0.051456 0.074783